Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.001028 0.001174 0.001320 0.001479 0.001645 0.001813 0.001996
2025-08-24 0.000753 0.000954 0.001166 0.001402 0.001656 0.001920 0.002212
2025-08-31 0.000583 0.000825 0.001089 0.001392 0.001726 0.002078 0.002475
2025-09-07 0.000465 0.000738 0.001047 0.001412 0.001822 0.002260 0.002759
2025-09-14 0.000338 0.000625 0.000965 0.001378 0.001851 0.002365 0.002956
2025-09-21 0.000265 0.000567 0.000941 0.001405 0.001944 0.002536 0.003224
2025-09-28 0.000222 0.000541 0.000950 0.001467 0.002076 0.002749 0.003534
2025-10-05 0.000161 0.000480 0.000910 0.001468 0.002133 0.002876 0.003747
2025-10-12 0.000119 0.000440 0.000893 0.001493 0.002216 0.003029 0.003988
2025-10-19 0.000073 0.000379 0.000843 0.001473 0.002244 0.003117 0.004154
2025-10-26 0.000041 0.000333 0.000809 0.001470 0.002289 0.003224 0.004338
2025-11-02 0.000011 0.000268 0.000741 0.001420 0.002274 0.003259 0.004440
2025-11-09 NaN 0.000204 0.000679 0.001393 0.002309 0.003376 0.004665
2025-11-16 NaN 0.000127 0.000581 0.001312 0.002276 0.003415 0.004803
2025-11-23 NaN 0.000086 0.000535 0.001299 0.002326 0.003551 0.005053
2025-11-30 NaN 0.000061 0.000512 0.001316 0.002413 0.003732 0.005356
2025-12-07 NaN 0.000029 0.000456 0.001281 0.002432 0.003829 0.005560
2025-12-14 NaN 0.000017 0.000442 0.001306 0.002526 0.004017 0.005869
2025-12-21 NaN 0.000012 0.000451 0.001366 0.002667 0.004260 0.006242
2025-12-28 NaN 0.000003 0.000423 0.001367 0.002727 0.004404 0.006499
2026-01-04 NaN NaN 0.000411 0.001390 0.002817 0.004584 0.006796
2026-01-11 NaN NaN 0.000375 0.001371 0.002848 0.004690 0.007005
2026-01-18 NaN NaN 0.000350 0.001368 0.002900 0.004820 0.007242